Among other things, July 2020 is bringing on the heat. Most of the country will above average temperatures with the only exception being the Pacific Northwest. Check out Brian Ivey’s forecast (and his new Hawaiian shirt) in this week’s weather video!
It’s a great week for most of the nation to head to the beach. The central and southern plains will have widespread triple-digit heat. The rest of the country will see widespread temps in the 80’s and 90’s. This heat wave is expected to stay consistent every day though the middle of next week.
This weather is a result of the high-pressure ridge that is pushing warm air up from the Gulf and keeping things hot and dry.
The air will stay dry over the Great Lakes and most of the country. There will just be small pockets of scattered rain that are very spotty. The only organized system of precipitation is expected to brew up on Wednesday smack in the middle of the country, but it fizzles out before it spreads too far East.
The only possibility of real rain activity might be from a ridge runner coming down from Canada and colliding with the high pressure system heading north. If that cool, low pressure air smacks into the high pressure air in the south, we might see some action. Otherwise we expect to see a pretty dry, mellow week in weather.
The only areas with precipitation potential this week are along the Canadian border (where the low pressure collides with the high pressure) and perhaps parts of Florida. The rest of the country will be mostly dry through July 10th.
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There’s a monster dust storm whipping up a mess in the Caribbean that’s moving north towards the United States. It’s called a “Saharan Dust Layer” and it’s not something we see a whole lot in the U.S. but it actually happens a few times every summer worldwide. What is it and what will it do? Watch the video below or keep reading!
So what’s up with the Saharan Dust Layer? It’s actually dust and sand particles pulled up from Africa by the trade winds and pushed out over the Atlantic Ocean. Those winds will push a mighty swarm of particles into the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico. It will then dissipate across the United States getting further inland than you might think. Meteorologist Brian Ivey is super geeked out about it, and if you are in those areas, your Covid-19 face masks may come in extra-handy!
Actually, the Saharan Dust Layer might seem like a dangerous thing for air quality, but most of the dust stays 5,000 to 20,000 feet above land so it doesn’t usually hinder breathing or irritate people with allergies. In fact, it has some good effects instead… It helps reduce the threat of tropical storms for a bit by adding a layer of very dry air to the atmosphere, plus it brews up some awesome sunsets so keep an eye out for that!
We’ve seen quite a bit of rain over the last couple of weeks in the East and Upper Midwest. Other parts of the country have been very dry. This week is expected to be pretty quiet as well across most of the U.S. until the weekend when we could see some rain in the Ohio Valley and portions of the West. Tuesday a more significant system is expected to kick up some heavy downpours in the Memphis area. The precipitation is expected to remain scattered – primarily in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.
Aside from the excitement of the Saharan Dust Layer sweeping across the United States, it’s not expected to be an exciting weather week. Just watch for spotty rain and the potential for storms around Memphis early next week.
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This week will start off with active weather and warm summer heat as Tropical Storm Cristobal moves up through the country into Canada. It is expected to continue on its path through the Midwest and western Great Lakes bringing the risk of heavy rain and possible tornadoes early this week.
After Cristobal moves into Canada, we expect to see the potential for a line of severe weather in its wake. That system is predicted for Wednesday and Thursday as a narrow line stretching from Northern Michigan all the way down through Atlanta. That line of storms moves east quickly and moves out the highest risk of severe weather for some time. It is expected to bring precipitation totals of up to 3.5″ in some areas, but most of the Ohio Valley will see an inch or less.
What does Cristobal look like in living color? Check it out here:
After Cristobal moves through we’ll see a much drier pattern across the United States for a while. By Friday and over the weekend most of the country will be dry with the exception of a bit of scattered activity across the Northeast and a system may brew up in the Pacific Northwest on Saturday. The Northwest system will be more widespread and bring more consistent rain. Most of the country is expected to remain dry through most of next week and possibly even longer.
Precipitation anomalies through June 21st show slightly below or well below-average precipitation for the entire country with the only exception being in the Northwest. A band stretching from Seattle down to north of San Francisco and west to Denver and Rapid City, Iowa is expected to be slightly above average precipitation. This could change if another tropical system develops in the Gulf, but for now, we expect well below-average precipitation in the Southeast.
Temperatures are expected to start off warm this week with all the other activity, but then as Cristobal moves out, a bit of cooler weather takes its place. The hot spot remains in the Central U.S. as cooler temps move in on both coasts for the weekend.
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If you are in the Upper Midwest, Kansas City region, or around the Gulf of Mexico, you are going to want to pay extra close attention to the weather this week. Storms are coming and some might be a bit concerning. See Brian Ivey’s forecast and a sneak peek at Summer 2020 expectations below.
Today or tomorrow there is a risk of threatening weather in the Upper Midwest region including the Dakotas, Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, and the Ohio Valley. That system brings the potential for rain and the possibility of severe storms in some spots.
The key weather term of the week is “ridging.” The big area of ridging in the Midwest means the weather starts off quiet this week, with high pressure that keeps skies relatively sunny in most of the country. Then the troughing on the edges of that ridging can cook up some nasty storms. That’s what we’re likely to see this week…. storms popping up on the edges of the ridging. All the action and energy this week is north of the ridging.
By Thursday the ridging and troughing activity will have moved through and Neoweather expects us to see much more of a scattered rain situation. Those rainy systems are unorganized but seem to start off over the eastern half of the country first, then the western states get some precipitation too by the weekend. Nothing is expected to be severe aside from the Tropical Storm that’s kicking up in the Gulf of Mexico. The trajectory on that storm looks like it will collide with the Gulf Coast and Florida by Saturday. Most of it will cover the Florida Panhandle.
Monday is expected to bring a cold air blast to the Pacific Northwest which will cool things down a bit. There may even be some snow in the higher elevations. This overall cooling will last a week or so in that area, while the rest of the country remains warm.
Summer 2020 Expected Temperatures
A warm summer with relatively mild temperatures is expected this year. You can see from the map above that there are areas of slightly above or below average temperatures, but the only area expected to be well above average is the West Coast – specifically California and Utah. The rest of the country should only have mild variations from averages overall.
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